Narva Trans vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
TRA
1 - 3
TJK
45%
24%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
TRA
1 - 1
TAL
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
KUR
0 - 3
TRA
34%
24%
42%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
TRA
3 - 0
JKJ
84%
12%
5%
|
57 | 24 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
PAI
4 - 2
TRA
79%
13%
8%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
TUL
71%
17%
13%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
MAA
2 - 1
PAR
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
4 - 1
NOM
45%
22%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
FCE
0 - 0
PAR
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 3
FLO
55%
22%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |