Narva Trans vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SIK
3 - 1
TRA
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 1
SIK
45%
24%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
TRA
16%
20%
65%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
TAM
0 - 2
TRA
45%
25%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 3
TIN
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
PAR
2 - 3
TUL
16%
19%
66%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
TUL
4 - 1
PAR
77%
14%
9%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
TRA
16%
20%
65%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
LEV
3 - 0
PAR
87%
10%
3%
|
30 | 75 | 45 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 6
KAL
10%
19%
71%
|
30 | 76 | 46 | 0 |