Narva Trans vs Kuressaare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
41.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
10º
8º
43
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 0
PAI
13%
19%
68%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
HJP
1 - 2
TRA
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
KAL
2 - 0
TRA
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 2
LEV
12%
22%
67%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
FLO
5 - 0
TRA
81%
14%
6%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 1
FLO
14%
18%
67%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 4
FLO
14%
21%
65%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LEV
4 - 1
KUR
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 2
PAR
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 1
KUR
80%
13%
7%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |