Narva Trans vs Kuressaare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
TRA
8 - 0
NOO
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PAI
2 - 5
TRA
48%
23%
30%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
TRA
2 - 1
TAM
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
FLO
2 - 2
TRA
83%
12%
6%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 1
PAR
80%
13%
7%
|
60 | 32 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
KUR
0 - 5
LEV
3%
12%
85%
|
39 | 82 | 43 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
KUR
2 - 4
KAL
4%
14%
82%
|
40 | 80 | 40 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 1
KUR
33%
22%
46%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
KUR
1 - 4
TUL
65%
17%
18%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
KUR
0 - 3
TRA
27%
22%
51%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |