Narva Trans vs Kuressaare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Narva Trans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 1
LEV
18%
22%
60%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
KAL
5 - 2
TRA
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
TRA
2 - 2
TAL
54%
23%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
TRA
6 - 0
TIN
34%
24%
43%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 1
TRA
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 2
KUR
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
KUR
1 - 0
TAL
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
KUR
0 - 3
KAL
13%
20%
68%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
KUR
0 - 7
FLO
8%
12%
80%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
KUR
18%
20%
63%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |