Tranmere Rovers vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
TRA
1 - 1
BPO
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
COL
1 - 1
TRA
36%
27%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2004 |
TRA
3 - 2
STO
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
LUT
0 - 1
TRA
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
TRA
0 - 0
HAR
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
SWA
1 - 2
GUL
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
SWA
2 - 1
PNE
24%
25%
52%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
SWA
0 - 0
CHE
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
BCF
2 - 0
SWA
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
SWA
0 - 0
OXF
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |