FA Cup . 1/64
Global 3-1
Tranmere Rovers vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
GRI
5 - 2
TRA
23%
27%
51%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 1
OLD
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
OXF
0 - 2
TRA
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 2
TRA
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
TRA
3 - 3
OXF
69%
19%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
CHE
0 - 2
SOU
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 0
CHE
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BOS
1 - 2
SOU
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2018 |
HER
0 - 3
SOU
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SOU
2 - 0
BOR
29%
26%
46%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +4 |