Trairiense vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trairiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 0
CRA
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
TRA
67%
19%
14%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 1
FER
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
HOR
4 - 1
TRA
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 0
TRA
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CRA
4 - 2
ITA
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
ITA
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 0
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 2
ICA
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
0 - 2
GUA
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |