CAF Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
TP Mazembe vs Orlando Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TPM
2 - 1
VCL
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
TPM
6 - 0
DAU
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
PIR
3 - 1
TPM
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
CSM
0 - 2
TPM
30%
31%
38%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
TPM
6 - 0
CEN
90%
8%
3%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
PIR
0 - 1
CHI
68%
21%
11%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BID
0 - 1
PIR
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
PIR
3 - 1
TPM
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
FRE
1 - 1
PIR
36%
28%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 2
PIR
35%
28%
38%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |