TP Mazembe vs Al-Hilal Omdurman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
3.1%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
BEL
2 - 0
TPM
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
GBA
0 - 0
TPM
31%
29%
40%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 0
TPM
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
TPM
6 - 0
RCK
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
TPM
2 - 0
SIM
72%
19%
10%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Hilal Omdurman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
ALH
0 - 0
SUN
9%
17%
74%
|
41 | 73 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
ALH
0 - 0
BEL
13%
23%
65%
|
41 | 75 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
ALH
4 - 0
ALH
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
ALH
2 - 1
MER
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 1
ALH
85%
12%
4%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | -2 |