Tours U19 vs Lorient U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
72.3%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
13º
12º
40
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
50.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
TOU
0 - 5
ANG
17%
22%
61%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SCB
3 - 0
TOU
46%
21%
33%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TOU
1 - 2
AVR
27%
24%
49%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
TOU
88%
8%
4%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 2
GUI
18%
21%
61%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
STA
2 - 3
LOR
33%
22%
45%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
ANG
3 - 4
LOR
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
LOR
0 - 4
AVR
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
GUI
4 - 4
LOR
43%
22%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
LOR
4 - 1
BER
79%
13%
8%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | +1 |