Tours vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tours
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 2
TOU
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
TOU
3 - 5
ASS
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 2
TRO
38%
26%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
DIJ
0 - 3
TOU
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
LMU
1 - 3
TOU
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 3
GAZ
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 1
AJA
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 1
NÎM
58%
24%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CON
3 - 0
AJA
17%
23%
61%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 1
AJA
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |