Toulouse Métropole vs Brive analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
73.8%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brive
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BRI
0 - 5
LUC
11%
20%
69%
|
27 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
TOU
2 - 1
BRI
75%
17%
8%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BRI
0 - 4
MON
27%
27%
46%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
TRE
1 - 1
BRI
73%
18%
9%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
STA
5 - 2
BRI
70%
19%
11%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |