Toulouse II vs Grasse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
13º
14º
14º
42
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
BOU
2 - 2
TOU
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
TOU
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
TOU
2 - 4
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FRE
3 - 1
TOU
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
MON
1 - 3
TOU
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
13%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
FRE
0 - 0
GRA
33%
28%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
4 - 0
OLY
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
JUR
0 - 0
GRA
36%
26%
39%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MGG
1 - 1
GRA
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |