Toulouse II vs Agde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
8º
2º
34
6º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BEZ
1 - 0
TOU
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TOU
1 - 0
MON
36%
26%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
TOU
3 - 2
AGD
40%
26%
35%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CAS
4 - 2
TOU
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
TOU
1 - 1
BLA
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Agde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AGD
1 - 0
BAL
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
USJ
4 - 0
AGD
27%
23%
51%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -3 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
TOU
3 - 2
AGD
40%
26%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
AGD
5 - 3
BEA
61%
21%
19%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
AGD
0 - 1
CAS
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |