Toulouse vs Pau FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
TFC
6 - 1
TRO
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 0
NÎM
74%
16%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 0
TFC
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 1
NÎM
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 0
TFC
11%
22%
67%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
ASN
2 - 3
PAU
29%
27%
43%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
PAU
2 - 2
NIO
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
QUE
1 - 2
PAU
32%
28%
39%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
PAU
0 - 1
SOC
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
GUI
3 - 0
PAU
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |