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Ligue 2. Matchday 35

Toulouse Pau FC
61 ELO 48
32% Tilt -5%
482º General ELO ranking 1288º
23º Country ELO ranking 82º
ELO win probability
70.3%
Toulouse
17.5%
Draw
12.2%
Pau FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
Toulouse
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.2%
Win probability
Pau FC
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toulouse
+35%
-4%
Pau FC

Basic stats

56
44
POS
16
9
SOT
5
10
COR
2
2
GF
2
2
GC
61
48
ELO
2.3
0.9
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Toulouse
Their league position
Pau FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
19º
44
14º
20º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Troyes
77
77
100%
Clermont
72
72
100%
Toulouse
70
70
100%
Grenoble
65
65
100%
Paris FC
64
64
100%
Auxerre
62
62
100%
Sochaux
51
51
100%
Nancy
47
47
20%
Guingamp
47
47
20%
Amiens SC
10º
47
47
10º
20%
Valenciennes
11º
47
47
11º
20%
Le Havre
12º
47
47
12º
20%
Ajaccio
13º
46
46
13º
100%
Pau FC
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Rodez
15º
43
43
15º
100%
Dunkerque
16º
41
41
16º
33%
Caen
17º
41
41
17º
33%
Niort
18º
41
41
18º
33%
Chambly
19º
38
38
19º
100%
Chateauroux
20º
23
23
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Toulouse
Pau FC
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Toulouse
TFC
Pau FC
PAU
Dunkerque
DUN
Valenciennes
VAL
Grenoble
GRE
Nantes
NAN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toulouse
Toulouse
1%
X%
2%
ELO TFC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2021
RVA
Rumilly Vallières
2 - 0
Toulouse
TFC
21%
24%
55%
1443 222 -1221 -27
17 Apr. 2021
TFC
Toulouse
1 - 0
Chateauroux
CHA
63%
21%
16%
1436 754 682 +3
12 Apr. 2021
GUI
Guingamp
1 - 1
Toulouse
TFC
46%
27%
27%
1436 1328 -108 0
07 Apr. 2021
SAU
Saumur
1 - 2
Toulouse
TFC
18%
21%
61%
1433 144 -1289 +4
03 Apr. 2021
TFC
Toulouse
4 - 1
Nancy
ASN
47%
27%
26%
1422 1352 70 +9

Matches

Pau FC
Pau FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO PAU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2021
PAU
Pau FC
3 - 0
Auxerre
AUX
38%
28%
34%
871 1263 -392 +12
17 Apr. 2021
FCS
Sochaux
1 - 1
Pau FC
PAU
57%
23%
20%
869 1294 425 +2
10 Apr. 2021
PAU
Pau FC
2 - 1
Clermont
CLE
39%
28%
33%
862 1201 -339 +7
03 Apr. 2021
CAE
Caen
1 - 1
Pau FC
PAU
57%
23%
20%
860 1299 439 +2
20 Mar. 2021
PAU
Pau FC
3 - 1
Dunkerque
DUN
41%
28%
31%
851 981 -130 +9