Toulouse vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
61.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
5º
16º
12º
70
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 59 |
3º
|
52.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
53% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 55 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 52 |
6º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 51 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 51 |
8º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 49 |
9º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 42 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
43% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 39 |
13º
|
85.5% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 34 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
83% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 30 |
16º
|
52% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 29 |
17º
|
44% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 26 |
18º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 2
TFC
27%
26%
48%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TFC
2 - 1
ROM
18%
23%
58%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
TFC
2 - 1
OSA
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
TFC
0 - 2
NOR
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
BRE
5 - 2
TFC
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
PSG
0 - 0
LOR
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
JEO
0 - 3
PSG
10%
16%
73%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
PSG
1 - 2
INT
23%
24%
54%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
PSG
2 - 3
CER
69%
18%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
PSG
0 - 0
ALN
77%
15%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |