Toulouse vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
56.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
TFC
43%
28%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 1
TFC
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 0
AUX
43%
29%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
REN
0 - 1
TFC
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 1
LOR
38%
28%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LYO
0 - 1
MAR
51%
23%
27%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
GAZ
0 - 4
LYO
11%
21%
67%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LYO
2 - 1
AUX
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
REN
1 - 1
LYO
27%
26%
47%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
LYO
2 - 1
SOC
76%
16%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |