Toulouse vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 0
TFC
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 1
NÎM
69%
19%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 0
TFC
11%
22%
67%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 0
NIO
76%
16%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
SOC
1 - 1
TFC
24%
26%
51%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
NÎM
0 - 2
BAS
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 1
NÎM
69%
19%
13%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ASN
1 - 3
NÎM
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
NÎM
3 - 2
ROD
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
QUE
0 - 1
NÎM
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |