Toulouse vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
TFC
1 - 1
ROD
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
NIO
2 - 1
TFC
16%
24%
60%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
TRE
1 - 3
TFC
5%
15%
81%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
TFC
4 - 1
SOC
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
FCL
0 - 0
TFC
4%
13%
84%
|
74 | 23 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
NÎM
2 - 1
ASN
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
ROD
1 - 0
NÎM
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
AUB
2 - 2
NÎM
8%
15%
77%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
NÎM
2 - 1
QUE
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CLA
0 - 3
NÎM
3%
8%
90%
|
67 | 8 | 59 | 0 |