Toulouse vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
59%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
TFC
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
TFC
0 - 1
STR
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
AMI
0 - 0
TFC
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LYO
3 - 0
TFC
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
TFC
2 - 5
BRE
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
NIC
1 - 3
NÎM
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
REI
1 - 1
NIC
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
NIC
2 - 1
LYO
27%
23%
50%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
NIC
1 - 2
LYO
28%
24%
48%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
NIC
1 - 1
REN
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |