Toulouse vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
41%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LIL
1 - 2
TFC
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
CAE
2 - 1
TFC
22%
27%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
REI
0 - 1
TFC
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TFC
2 - 2
DIJ
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
PSG
1 - 0
TFC
87%
10%
4%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
STR
2 - 0
NIC
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
NIC
0 - 0
GUI
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NIC
1 - 1
ASS
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
NIC
0 - 0
ANG
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
GUI
0 - 0
NIC
23%
25%
52%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |