Toulouse vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
ASS
2 - 2
TFC
53%
26%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
USB
0 - 1
TFC
20%
27%
53%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
TFC
2 - 0
SOC
48%
28%
25%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 1
MAR
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 0
TFC
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ASN
2 - 2
LIL
23%
26%
51%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
DRO
1 - 5
ASN
7%
15%
78%
|
76 | 34 | 42 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
BAS
4 - 2
ASN
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ASN
1 - 1
GIR
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
LYO
1 - 1
ASN
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |