Toulouse vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
LYO
5 - 1
TFC
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
TFC
1 - 1
CAE
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
GIR
2 - 1
TFC
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TFC
1 - 1
REI
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
NAN
2 - 0
TFC
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
GUI
0 - 0
NAN
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GUI
1 - 0
ANG
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
GIR
0 - 0
GUI
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
LYO
2 - 1
GUI
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GUI
0 - 2
LIL
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |