Ligue 2 . Jor. 4

Toulouse vs Bastia analysis

Toulouse Bastia
72 ELO 64
6.6% Tilt 1.4%
297º General ELO ranking 1510º
11º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
61.7%
Toulouse
21.7%
Draw
16.6%
Bastia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
Toulouse
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.6%
Win probability
Bastia
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toulouse
+7%
-4%
Bastia

ELO progression

Toulouse
Bastia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toulouse
Toulouse
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Aug. 2021
PAU
Pau FC
0 - 1
Toulouse
TFC
27%
26%
47%
72 63 9 0
31 Jul. 2021
ASN
Nancy
0 - 4
Toulouse
TFC
25%
26%
49%
71 61 10 +1
24 Jul. 2021
TFC
Toulouse
2 - 2
Ajaccio
AJA
67%
21%
13%
71 62 9 0
17 Jul. 2021
TFC
Toulouse
2 - 0
Rodez
ROD
70%
18%
12%
71 60 11 0
13 Jul. 2021
TFC
Toulouse
1 - 2
Real Sociedad B
RSO
77%
15%
8%
71 55 16 0

Matches

Bastia
Bastia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 2021
BAS
Bastia
1 - 1
Nancy
ASN
51%
25%
24%
64 60 4 0
24 Jul. 2021
BAS
Bastia
1 - 1
Nîmes
NÎM
32%
26%
42%
64 69 5 0
16 Jul. 2021
NIC
Nice
0 - 1
Bastia
BAS
67%
19%
14%
64 78 14 0
09 Jul. 2021
ANN
Annecy
2 - 3
Bastia
BAS
23%
23%
54%
64 54 10 0
08 Jul. 2021
ANN
Annecy
2 - 3
Bastia
BAS
23%
23%
54%
64 54 10 0
X