Toulouse vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 0
TFC
45%
28%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TFC
3 - 0
LYO
20%
25%
55%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 0
TFC
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TFC
2 - 4
AJA
50%
27%
23%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 0
TFC
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
LIL
0 - 0
BAS
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 3
LIL
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
LOR
29%
25%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
3 - 0
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 3
VAL
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |