Toulouse vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
AMI
0 - 0
TFC
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
TFC
2 - 3
CAE
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 2
TFC
13%
22%
65%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TFC
4 - 1
GRE
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
LHA
1 - 1
TFC
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
AUX
2 - 2
NÎM
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
SOC
0 - 0
AUX
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
AUX
1 - 0
ROD
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
QUE
0 - 0
AUX
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AUX
4 - 0
NIO
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |