Toto Africans vs Simba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
37.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toto Africans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MMA
1 - 5
TOT
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
AZA
5 - 0
TOT
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
TOT
1 - 0
JKT
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
YOU
4 - 1
TOT
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NDA
0 - 0
TOT
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AZA
2 - 2
SIM
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SIM
6 - 1
MMA
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
SIM
1 - 0
COA
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
TAN
1 - 0
SIM
33%
30%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MBE
0 - 1
SIM
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |