Toto Africans vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
31%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toto Africans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TOT
1 - 0
MWA
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
TOT
2 - 0
RUV
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
KAG
1 - 0
TOT
57%
27%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
MTI
2 - 2
TOT
64%
22%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
TOT
1 - 0
TAN
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
SUN
0 - 1
MTI
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MTI
1 - 2
COA
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MTI
2 - 0
RUV
51%
27%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MTI
0 - 1
JKT
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
TAN
1 - 1
MTI
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |