Tosno vs Znamya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
5.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 1
TOS
14%
24%
62%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 2
TOS
15%
23%
62%
|
59 | 30 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
TOS
1 - 0
VOL
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
TOS
0 - 0
KHI
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
TEK
0 - 0
TOS
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Znamya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ZNA
2 - 1
FCD
19%
24%
57%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
ZNA
0 - 1
STR
33%
24%
43%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
DNE
1 - 0
ZNA
71%
19%
11%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
LOK
4 - 0
ZNA
75%
17%
9%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ZNA
1 - 0
FCR
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |