Toscal vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
SAL
1 - 1
TCF
52%
25%
24%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
TCF
3 - 0
MAN
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
ARG
1 - 1
TCF
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
TCF
3 - 1
SFN
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
CDT
2 - 1
TCF
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
CAR
0 - 0
COL
72%
19%
9%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
NUM
3 - 1
CAR
47%
29%
24%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
CAR
1 - 1
LEG
65%
22%
13%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
CIE
1 - 0
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
RMC
1 - 0
CAR
92%
6%
2%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -1 |