Toscal vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
ARG
1 - 1
TCF
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
TCF
3 - 1
SFN
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
CDT
2 - 1
TCF
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
TCF
1 - 0
CDS
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
UDL
2 - 0
TCF
94%
5%
2%
|
35 | 83 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
MAN
1 - 1
COL
71%
20%
9%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
NUM
1 - 1
MAN
45%
30%
25%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
MAN
2 - 0
LEG
60%
25%
15%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
CIE
1 - 1
MAN
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
CAR
2 - 0
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |