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Serie D. Matchday 5

Tortona Villalvernia vs Verbania analysis

Tortona Villalvernia Verbania
23 ELO 23
6% Tilt 45%
13471º General ELO ranking 13469º
497º Country ELO ranking 495º
ELO win probability
37.2%
Tortona Villalvernia
24.3%
Draw
38.5%
Verbania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
Tortona Villalvernia
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.5%
Win probability
Verbania
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AS Bra
º
72
72
0%
Bogliasco FC
º
43
43
11º
0%
Trezzano Calcio
º
28
28
17º
0%
Novese
º
33
33
16º
0%
Tortona Villalvernia
º
35
35
15º
0%
AC Asti
º
39
39
14º
0%
Verbano Calcio
º
40
40
13º
0%
Gozzano
º
43
43
12º
0%
Verbania
º
44
44
10º
0%
Santhià
º
69
69
0%
Derthona
º
45
45
0%
Sestri Levante
º
47
47
0%
Folgore Caratese
º
50
50
0%
Chiavari Caperana
º
51
51
0%
Borgosesia
º
56
56
0%
Chieri
º
61
61
0%
Lavagnese
º
62
62
0%
Imperia
º
20
20
18º
0%
Expected probabilities
Tortona Villalvernia
Verbania
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Verbania
VER
Tortona Villalvernia
TOR
Lavagnese
LAV
Verbano
VER
Borgosesia
BOR
Chiavari Caperana
CHI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tortona Villalvernia
Tortona Villalvernia
1%
X%
2%
ELO TOR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2012
PRO
Imperia
0 - 4
Tortona Villalvernia
TOR
46%
27%
27%
296 269 -27 +3
12 Sep. 2012
TOR
Tortona Villalvernia
1 - 2
AS Bra
ASD
45%
27%
28%
298 295 3 -1
09 Sep. 2012
TOR
Tortona Villalvernia
2 - 1
Novese
NOV
46%
27%
26%
296 234 62 +1
02 Sep. 2012
LAV
Lavagnese
0 - 3
Tortona Villalvernia
TOR
46%
27%
27%
294 275 -19 +3

Matches

Verbania
Verbania
1%
X%
2%
ELO VER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Sep. 2012
VER
Verbania
1 - 1
Santhià
SAN
46%
27%
27%
296 311 -15 0
12 Sep. 2012
NOV
Novese
2 - 2
Verbania
VER
42%
28%
31%
296 233 -63 0
09 Sep. 2012
VER
Verbania
3 - 0
Folgore Caratese
FOL
48%
27%
26%
294 213 81 +2
02 Sep. 2012
BOG
Bogliasco FC
1 - 1
Verbania
VER
45%
27%
28%
294 294 0 0