Segunda Liga . Jor. 31

Torreense vs Trofense analysis

Torreense Trofense
56 ELO 52
-15.7% Tilt -17%
1899º General ELO ranking 4028º
31º Country ELO ranking 63º
ELO win probability
51.7%
Torreense
26.7%
Draw
21.6%
Trofense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
Torreense
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
21.6%
Win probability
Trofense
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Torreense
-8%
-14%
Trofense

Points and table prediction

Torreense
Their league position
Trofense
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
18º
32
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Moreirense
79
79
100%
Farense
69
69
100%
Estrela da Amadora
63
63
100%
Academico Viseu
53
53
100%
Porto II
51
51
100%
Mafra
47
47
100%
Feirense
46
46
100%
Vilafranquense
46
46
100%
Torreense
44
44
100%
UD Oliveirense
10º
43
43
10º
100%
Tondela
11º
40
40
11º
100%
Leixões
12º
39
39
12º
0%
Nacional
14º
39
39
13º
0%
Penafiel
13º
39
39
14º
0%
Benfica II
15º
38
38
15º
100%
Belenenses SAD
16º
35
35
16º
100%
Trofense
17º
32
32
17º
100%
SC Covilha
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Torreense
Trofense
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Torreense
Trofense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Torreense
Torreense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2023
VIL
Vilafranquense
2 - 0
Torreense
TOR
54%
26%
21%
57 60 3 0
22 Apr. 2023
TOR
Torreense
2 - 0
Leixões
LEX
30%
29%
42%
56 61 5 +1
15 Apr. 2023
MAF
Mafra
1 - 0
Torreense
TOR
55%
25%
20%
57 61 4 -1
08 Apr. 2023
TOR
Torreense
3 - 1
SC Covilha
SPC
49%
27%
24%
56 53 3 +1
02 Apr. 2023
BEL
Belenenses SAD
1 - 3
Torreense
TOR
55%
25%
20%
55 57 2 +1

Matches

Trofense
Trofense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2023
TRO
Trofense
1 - 0
Academico Viseu
ACV
17%
25%
58%
51 63 12 0
24 Apr. 2023
BEN
Benfica II
0 - 0
Trofense
TRO
75%
16%
9%
51 60 9 0
15 Apr. 2023
TRO
Trofense
1 - 2
Tondela
TON
21%
27%
52%
51 63 12 0
08 Apr. 2023
POR
Porto II
4 - 2
Trofense
TRO
69%
20%
11%
52 61 9 -1
01 Apr. 2023
TRO
Trofense
2 - 1
Farense
FAR
16%
25%
59%
51 65 14 +1
X