Toronto II vs Cincinnati analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
64.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
TOR
1 - 3
IND
15%
24%
61%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
PNN
3 - 2
TOR
78%
15%
8%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
OTT
3 - 0
TOR
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 4
TAM
11%
20%
70%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 1
TOR
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cincinnati
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
CIN
4 - 0
RIC
68%
20%
13%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
CIN
2 - 2
PHU
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
CIN
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
CIN
0 - 0
MIN
19%
18%
64%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
NYO
1 - 2
CIN
50%
24%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |