Toronto II vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
RIC
1 - 0
TOR
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
FMA
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
OMA
2 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
19%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
GTR
3 - 0
TOR
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 0
CRW
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
NOT
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CRW
3 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 1
NER
41%
24%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 3
OMA
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
RIC
0 - 0
CAR
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |