Toronto FC vs New York RB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
ORL
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
NER
2 - 3
TOR
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
DCU
7 - 1
TOR
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 2
CIN
75%
17%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
NSC
3 - 2
TOR
30%
26%
43%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
New York RB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
RBN
1 - 1
PHU
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
ORL
1 - 2
RBN
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
AFC
0 - 0
RBN
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
NER
3 - 2
RBN
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
RBN
2 - 0
NSC
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |