Toronto FC vs New York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
TOR
3 - 4
VAN
45%
26%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
DAL
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
TOR
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
TOR
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DCU
0 - 1
TOR
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
NYC
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
DCU
0 - 2
NYC
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
NYC
3 - 2
VAN
52%
24%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
NYC
1 - 1
MON
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PHU
2 - 0
NYC
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |