Toronto FC vs New England Revolution analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
44.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 2
NYC
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
PHU
3 - 0
TOR
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
NSC
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
CFS
1 - 2
TOR
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
TOR
1 - 1
RBN
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
New England Revolution
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
NER
2 - 1
PHU
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
NER
0 - 0
NSC
59%
24%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
RBN
2 - 3
NER
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
NER
2 - 1
MON
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
IMI
0 - 5
NER
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |