Toronto FC vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
42.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 2
POR
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CFS
2 - 1
TOR
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
5 - 1
AGU
52%
24%
23%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 2
HOD
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
COR
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
KCW
2 - 1
DCU
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
KCW
1 - 1
SES
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
NER
0 - 1
KCW
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
KCW
1 - 1
STO
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
KCW
1 - 2
COC
54%
25%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |