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MLS. Temporada Regular, Matchday 32

Toronto FC vs Inter Miami analysis

Toronto FC Inter Miami
69 ELO 62
-13% Tilt -29%
241º General ELO ranking 432º
Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
60.7%
Toronto FC
24.7%
Draw
14.6%
Inter Miami

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
Toronto FC
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
14.6%
Win probability
Inter Miami
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toronto FC
-16%
-16%
Inter Miami

Basic stats

49
51
POS
10
9
SOT
8
4
COR
0
1
GF
1
0
GC
20
15
FRK
69
62
ELO
1.6
0.6
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Toronto FC
Their league position
Inter Miami
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
14º
32
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
New England Revolution
56
71
100%
Nashville SC
41
55
21%
New York City
38
56
19%
Orlando City
38
52
13%
Atlanta United
36
49
12%
DC United
34
49
12%
CF Montréal
34
47
9%
Philadelphia Union
32
48
9%
Inter Miami
32
42
10º
15%
Columbus Crew
10º
31
42
12%
New York RB
11º
26
41
11º
13%
Chicago Fire
12º
23
33
12º
23%
Cincinnati
13º
20
29
13º
31%
Toronto FC
14º
15
28
14º
53%
Expected probabilities
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
Champion
0% 0%
Knockout stages
0% 41%
Mid-table
100% 59%

ELO progression

Toronto FC
TOR
Inter Miami
IMI
New York RB
RBN
Nashville SC
NSC
York United
YOR
New York City
NYC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toronto FC
Toronto FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO TOR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2021
CIN
Cincinnati
2 - 0
Toronto FC
TOR
24%
25%
50%
1826 745 -1081 -21
28 Aug. 2021
MON
CF Montréal
3 - 1
Toronto FC
TOR
40%
28%
32%
1841 1520 -321 -15
22 Aug. 2021
IMI
Inter Miami
3 - 1
Toronto FC
TOR
39%
28%
33%
1857 1478 -379 -16
19 Aug. 2021
AFC
Atlanta United
1 - 0
Toronto FC
TOR
49%
26%
25%
1865 1860 -5 -8
15 Aug. 2021
TOR
Toronto FC
1 - 2
New England Revolution
NER
53%
25%
22%
1879 1750 129 -10

Matches

Inter Miami
Inter Miami
1%
X%
2%
ELO IMI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2021
IMI
Inter Miami
1 - 0
Columbus Crew
COC
40%
28%
33%
1500 1843 -343 +10
05 Sep. 2021
CIN
Cincinnati
0 - 1
Inter Miami
IMI
29%
26%
45%
1496 749 -747 +5
28 Aug. 2021
ORL
Orlando City
0 - 0
Inter Miami
IMI
53%
26%
22%
1493 1718 225 +2
22 Aug. 2021
IMI
Inter Miami
3 - 1
Toronto FC
TOR
39%
28%
33%
1478 1857 -379 +16
19 Aug. 2021
IMI
Inter Miami
3 - 2
Chicago Fire
CFS
46%
27%
28%
1469 1601 -132 +9