Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2022 |
HFX
1 - 2
TOR
31%
23%
47%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
DCU
2 - 2
TOR
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 1
ORL
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VAN
1 - 0
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
CIN
2 - 0
TOR
23%
24%
53%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
NYC
1 - 0
CFS
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2022 |
RBN
3 - 3
CFS
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CFS
1 - 2
CIN
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
AFC
4 - 1
CFS
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CFS
1 - 2
RBN
29%
25%
46%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |