Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
30%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
SES
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
VAN
2 - 1
TOR
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
ORL
3 - 2
TOR
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
VAN
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
GAL
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
CFS
1 - 0
SJE
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
CFS
2 - 1
COC
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
PHU
4 - 3
CFS
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
CFS
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
CFS
1 - 1
IND
74%
16%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |