Torino vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
59.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 0
TOR
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 0
SAS
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 2
PES
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
CAT
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOR
45%
30%
25%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ACM
3 - 1
CAG
75%
17%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
ACM
3 - 0
PSV
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
VER
2 - 1
ACM
17%
24%
59%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
PSV
1 - 1
ACM
48%
24%
28%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
GAL
0 - 2
ACM
19%
23%
58%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |