Serie A . Jor. 5

Torino vs Lecce analysis

Torino Lecce
81 ELO 76
5.7% Tilt -10.3%
116º General ELO ranking 295º
11º Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
61.7%
Torino
21.6%
Draw
16.8%
Lecce

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
Torino
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16.8%
Win probability
Lecce
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Torino
+5%
-4%
Lecce

Points and table prediction

Torino
Their league position
Lecce
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
13º
37
11º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Napoli
90
90
100%
Lazio
74
74
100%
Inter
72
72
100%
Juventus
62
72
100%
Milan
70
70
100%
Atalanta
64
64
100%
Roma
63
63
100%
Fiorentina
56
56
100%
Torino
53
53
100%
Bologna
10º
52
52
10º
100%
AC Monza
11º
52
52
11º
100%
Udinese
12º
46
46
12º
100%
Sassuolo
13º
45
45
13º
100%
Empoli
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Salernitana
15º
42
42
15º
100%
Lecce
16º
37
37
16º
100%
Hellas Verona
18º
31
31
17º
0%
Spezia
17º
31
31
18º
0%
Cremonese
19º
27
27
19º
100%
Sampdoria
20º
19
19
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Torino
Lecce
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Torino
Lecce
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Torino
Torino
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2022
ATL
Atalanta
3 - 1
Torino
TOR
72%
17%
11%
81 88 7 0
27 Aug. 2022
USC
Cremonese
1 - 2
Torino
TOR
34%
27%
39%
81 74 7 0
20 Aug. 2022
TOR
Torino
0 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
32%
25%
43%
81 86 5 0
13 Aug. 2022
ASS
AC Monza
1 - 2
Torino
TOR
41%
27%
33%
81 76 5 0
06 Aug. 2022
TOR
Torino
3 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
72%
17%
11%
81 66 15 0

Matches

Lecce
Lecce
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Aug. 2022
NAP
Napoli
1 - 1
Lecce
LEC
78%
14%
7%
76 89 13 0
28 Aug. 2022
LEC
Lecce
1 - 1
Empoli
EMP
51%
23%
26%
76 77 1 0
20 Aug. 2022
SAS
Sassuolo
1 - 0
Lecce
LEC
68%
19%
13%
76 82 6 0
13 Aug. 2022
LEC
Lecce
1 - 2
Inter
INT
15%
22%
64%
76 92 16 0
05 Aug. 2022
LEC
Lecce
2 - 3
Cittadella
CTT
68%
18%
13%
77 71 6 -1
X