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Promotion Belgium. VFV A, Matchday 6

Torhout vs Erpe-Mere United analysis

Torhout Erpe-Mere United
14 ELO 46
24% Tilt 163%
8716º General ELO ranking 2128º
331º Country ELO ranking 103º
ELO win probability
13.5%
Torhout
13.4%
Draw
73.1%
Erpe-Mere United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
Torhout
1.51
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
7.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
13.4%
73.1%
Win probability
Erpe-Mere United
3.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
2.3%
4-5
0.6%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
4.7%
3-5
1.6%
4-6
0.3%
5-7
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
6.2%
2-5
3.1%
3-6
0.9%
4-7
0.2%
5-8
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
4.2%
2-6
1.8%
3-7
0.4%
4-8
0.1%
-4
10.5%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
2.3%
2-7
0.9%
3-8
0.2%
4-9
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.4%
3-9
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
1.4%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0.1%
2-11
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
1-11
0%
-10
0.1%
0-11
0%
-11
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Torhout
+34%
+41%
Erpe-Mere United

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Anzegem
0
36
8%
Voorde Appelterre
0
30
5%
Avanti
0
46
16%
Eppegem
0
26
12º
5%
Erpe-Mere United
0
36
6%
Jong Lede
0
24
13º
7%
Lochristi
0
49
3%
Oostkamp
0
48
3%
RC Lebbeke
0
33
6%
Rhodienne-De Hoek
10º
0
19
14º
7%
Sint-Niklaas
11º
0
27
11º
7%
Svelta Melsele
12º
0
17
15º
7%
Tempo Overijse
13º
0
45
3%
Torhout
14º
0
27
10º
7%
VW Hamme
15º
0
34
6%
Wolvertem Merchtem
16º
0
14
16º
8%
Expected probabilities
Torhout
Erpe-Mere United
Champion
4% 8%
Promotion playoffs
5% 8%
Could qualify for next round
18% 21%
Mid-table
47% 41%
Relegation playoffs
7% 6%
Relegation
20% 16%

ELO progression

Torhout
TOR
Erpe-Mere United
EMU
Oostkamp
OOS
Eppegem
EPP
Avanti
AVA
Jong Lede
JON
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Torhout
Torhout
1%
X%
2%
ELO TOR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2021
JON
Jong Lede
0 - 2
Torhout
TOR
63%
21%
16%
203 990 787 +1
25 Sep. 2021
TOR
Torhout
2 - 3
Sint-Niklaas
STN
46%
27%
27%
204 257 -53 0
18 Sep. 2021
RCL
RC Lebbeke
2 - 1
Torhout
TOR
63%
21%
16%
204 998 794 0
11 Sep. 2021
TOR
Torhout
1 - 2
VW Hamme
VWH
39%
28%
33%
204 431 -227 0
05 Sep. 2021
LOC
Lochristi
5 - 1
Torhout
TOR
58%
23%
20%
205 827 622 -1

Matches

Erpe-Mere United
Erpe-Mere United
1%
X%
2%
ELO EMU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2021
EMU
Erpe-Mere United
0 - 0
Avanti
AVA
47%
27%
26%
804 772 32 0
25 Sep. 2021
SVE
Svelta Melsele
0 - 3
Erpe-Mere United
EMU
42%
28%
30%
803 708 -95 +1
19 Sep. 2021
EMU
Erpe-Mere United
2 - 1
Eppegem
EPP
51%
26%
23%
803 611 192 0
12 Sep. 2021
EMU
Erpe-Mere United
1 - 1
Voorde Appelterre
APP
47%
27%
26%
803 789 14 0
05 Sep. 2021
JON
Jong Lede
2 - 3
Erpe-Mere United
EMU
51%
26%
23%
803 992 189 +1