Torcatense vs Varzim B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 1
TOR
68%
20%
12%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
TOR
2 - 0
FEL
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | +6 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 0
TOR
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
TOR
4 - 3
SMA
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FEL
2 - 2
TOR
81%
13%
7%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
3 - 0
MON
41%
23%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ADO
2 - 1
VAR
71%
18%
10%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
5 - 3
TRO
12%
18%
70%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
VAR
4 - 2
TRO
12%
20%
69%
|
25 | 52 | 27 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
SMA
4 - 1
VAR
67%
19%
15%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |