Toowong vs Western Spirit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
3.52
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.7%
3.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-92%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toowong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
TOO
15%
18%
68%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
TOO
1 - 5
GEO
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BAY
2 - 2
TOO
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MGH
1 - 5
TOO
12%
17%
71%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ALB
4 - 0
TOO
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Western Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
WES
0 - 4
GEO
5%
11%
83%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
BAY
4 - 0
WES
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
WES
0 - 2
ACA
40%
22%
38%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
WES
2 - 3
TLA
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
GAP
0 - 5
WES
48%
20%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |