Toowong vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toowong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TOO
2 - 1
BRK
88%
8%
4%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
GEO
1 - 2
TOO
71%
15%
14%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
TOO
3 - 2
BAY
38%
22%
40%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WES
2 - 2
TOO
16%
18%
66%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
BRK
0 - 2
TOO
16%
18%
67%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 2
GEO
10%
15%
75%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAY
2 - 0
UNI
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 2
ACA
36%
23%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
BRK
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
MGH
2 - 2
UNI
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |