Toowong vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+87%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
6º
5º
22
5º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 37 |
4º
|
40% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 33 |
5º
|
82% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 31 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 30 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 24 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
|
9º
|
22 | 23 |
9º
|
61% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 21 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 18 |
11º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 14 |
12º
|
59% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Final season | 12% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 88% | 100% |
| Relegation | 0% | 0% |
ELO progression
UNI
TOO
ACA
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toowong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO TOO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
GEO
1 - 2
TOO
46%
27%
27%
|
94 | 99 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
TOO
3 - 2
BAY
45%
27%
28%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
TLA
5 - 2
TOO
47%
27%
26%
|
94 | 203 | 109 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ACA
5 - 0
TOO
46%
27%
27%
|
94 | 77 | -17 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
TOO
2 - 4
ALB
45%
27%
28%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO UNI | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAY
2 - 0
UNI
47%
27%
26%
|
33 | 87 | 54 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
2 - 2
ACA
46%
27%
28%
|
33 | 77 | -44 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
MGH
2 - 2
UNI
53%
25%
22%
|
34 | 250 | 216 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ALB
5 - 0
UNI
47%
27%
26%
|
33 | 85 | 52 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 4
TLA
39%
28%
34%
|
34 | 203 | -169 | 0 |