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Brisbane. Matchday 21

Toowong vs Univ. Queensland analysis

Toowong Univ. Queensland
5 ELO 3
84% Tilt 1%
11940º General ELO ranking 13124º
175º Country ELO ranking 184º
ELO win probability
72%
Toowong
15.9%
Draw
12.1%
Univ. Queensland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
Toowong
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.1%
Win probability
Univ. Queensland
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Toowong
+87%
+7%
Univ. Queensland

Points and table prediction

Toowong
Their league position
Univ. Queensland
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
22
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Albany Creek
51
59
100%
Bayside United
40
44
100%
The Lakes
36
39
78%
St George Willawong
32
37
40%
Toowong
29
33
82%
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
28
31
33%
Acacia Ridge
27
30
60%
Centenary Stormers
23
24
64%
Univ. Queensland
22
23
61%
Western Spirit
10º
15
21
10º
39%
Brisbane Knights
11º
14
18
11º
44%
The Gap
12º
12
14
12º
59%
Expected probabilities
Toowong
Univ. Queensland
Champion
0% 0%
Final season
12% 0%
Mid-table
88% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Univ. Queensland
UNI
Toowong
TOO
Acacia Ridge
ACA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toowong
Toowong
1%
X%
2%
ELO TOO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Sep. 2021
GEO
St George Willawong
1 - 2
Toowong
TOO
46%
27%
27%
94 99 5 0
05 Sep. 2021
TOO
Toowong
3 - 2
Bayside United
BAY
45%
27%
28%
94 87 7 0
24 Jul. 2021
TLA
The Lakes
5 - 2
Toowong
TOO
47%
27%
26%
94 203 109 0
02 Oct. 2021
ACA
Acacia Ridge
5 - 0
Toowong
TOO
46%
27%
27%
94 77 -17 -1
11 Jul. 2021
TOO
Toowong
2 - 4
Albany Creek
ALB
45%
27%
28%
95 85 10 0

Matches

Univ. Queensland
Univ. Queensland
1%
X%
2%
ELO UNI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Sep. 2021
BAY
Bayside United
2 - 0
Univ. Queensland
UNI
47%
27%
26%
33 87 54 0
04 Sep. 2021
UNI
Univ. Queensland
2 - 2
Acacia Ridge
ACA
46%
27%
28%
33 77 -44 0
27 Jul. 2021
MGH
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
2 - 2
Univ. Queensland
UNI
53%
25%
22%
34 250 216 0
17 Jul. 2021
ALB
Albany Creek
5 - 0
Univ. Queensland
UNI
47%
27%
26%
33 85 52 -1
10 Jul. 2021
UNI
Univ. Queensland
1 - 4
The Lakes
TLA
39%
28%
34%
34 203 -169 0